.
Verve Capital International Inc.
e-mail: vcii@vervecapital.com
Tables of Relative Position
(a/o trade date specified)
Latin America (3/13)
Argentina (3/13) -
Chile (3/13) -
Colombia (3/13) -
Mexico (3/13) -
Peru (3/13) -
Venezuela (3/13)
Brazil (3/13)
Table Guide:
The two "Tables of Relative Position" below present a techno/fundamental recap of the Latin American stock markets - Brazil and Mexico, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Peru and Venezuela - as of the trading session specified.
The first, "Fundamental Recap", is the simplest, and provides basic fundamental data (not subject to interpretation), for approximately 53 securities and 7 stock indexes, in alphabetical order. A cut-off is set around $4.5 bn market value, all classes of stock being considered. Greater depth for each market can be obtained by clicking on the country link above.
The second table, " Technical Recap", is designed as a market timer aid and presents data methodologies, developed at Verve Capital, which have been found useful for out-performing the market. This table is presented in order of 20-day price change, a discussion of the concepts behind the table following. All historical stock prices are indexed to the latest close (DLT=100).
Interpreting the Technical Recap Table:
The Technical Recap table is designed to provide a rapid overview of relative performances within the Latin American stock markets. Three technical indicators are provided.
The first indicator is the stock's 20-day price change ("MOM", short for momentum), (preceded) by a comparison to the level of the previous week. A given stock index can begin to be considered overbought/oversold if the current 20-day price change is +15%/- 12%. For individual securities, the recommended tolerance level is +25%/- 20%. A trend cannot begin to be considered broken unless the week-to-week MOM has reversed course.
The Latin American markets have been particularly hard-hit by the Asian crisis with some markets also reacting to lower petroleum export prices. Brazil, initially hit the hardest, is now out-performing. As an approximation to resistance/support levels for all markets we are using the 12/97 lows as support and the 10/97 highs as resistance. Today, the M.A.'s, and their relative positions, are serving as the best guides. The support/resistance criteria necessarily result in some statistical non-sequitors, but are consistent with trying to beat the market, itself.
Two columns display the 10/97 Hi (resistance) and the 12/97 Lo (support) for individual stocks in these months. A 1998 "YTD" performance column follows, the three columns reading left-right, sequentially. One advantage of indexing DLT=100 is that the market's "balance" can be seen on break-outs/break-downs.
Three moving averages are shown (200-day, 40-day and 21-day). A stock trading below its 21-day M.A. is considered bearish short term, moreso if both the 21-day and 40-day M.A..'s have turned down . Space does not allow that a comparison with the previous week be provided, but one can gain an idea of trend from the left-right sequential comparisons and their relative positions. Since the stock price is stated DLT=100, all securities are directly comparable for relative performance purposes since the period cited.
Note that indexed DLT=100, a stock is out-performing a peer in its column if its stock price index level is lower. A stock is above an M.A. if the index value is <100. A stock has broken above the resistance range if the resistance index value is <100. And, conversely.
To obtain an actual historical stock price, multiply the index by the closing price and divide by 100. The historical stock price is not adjusted for dividends.
The Technical Recap table is in "stack order". The stack order is the order of 20-day MOM (price change). Generally, the rank order of MOM is of more interest, because rank orders tend to invert at market turning points. For example, the Brazilian market seemingly always has the most upside potential after a generalized market decline and the liquid state companies will always be near the bottom of the stack. The "stacks of stocks", were they placed side by side, sequentially, display relative strength.
The Technical Recap table is intended to be useful for momentum buyers as well as contrarians.
Relpos: Latin America
Fundamental Recap: (a/o Close, 3/13/98) |
Close US$/shr |
% Chg. on day |
% Chg. in wk |
Vol. - Feb $ MM |
52 wk Hi DLT=100 |
52 wk Lo DLT=100 |
Mkt. Cap. $ MM |
S.E. $ MM |
Px/Book |
|
Banamex Accival GF B |
2.381 |
0.0 |
(3.8) |
150.7 |
140.4 |
75.8 |
3,994 |
2,928 |
1.36 |
|
Bancomer GF B |
.59295 |
(1.9) |
(1.2) |
78.6 |
126.8 |
43.5 |
3,592 |
2,547 |
1.41 |
|
Bradesco ON |
.00926 |
5.1 |
9.4 |
9.9 |
116.2 |
61.8 |
9,038 |
4,992 |
1.81 |
|
Bradesco PN |
.00962 |
4.8 |
10.1 |
119.9 |
112.3 |
52.2 |
9,382 |
4,992 |
1.88 |
|
Brahma ON |
.67108 |
(2.6) |
0.0 |
9.5 |
119.2 |
74.0 |
4,848 |
1,210 |
4.01 |
|
Brahma PN |
.77642 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
43.0 |
101.9 |
64.6 |
5,614 |
1,210 |
4.64 |
|
Brasil PN |
.00940 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
27.2 |
150.5 |
58.6 |
6,690 |
5,357 |
1.25 |
|
CANTV D |
5.557 |
2.6 |
10.9 |
17.9 |
126.7 |
74.6 |
5,557 |
4,256 |
1.31 |
|
Carso Grupo A1 |
5.883 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
177.8 |
144.9 |
80.0 |
5,376 |
1,970 |
2.73 |
|
Cemex A |
4.015 |
0.3 |
(1.3) |
14.4 |
139.3 |
72.5 |
5,699 |
3,518 |
1.62 |
|
Cemex B |
4.949 |
0.5 |
(0.9) |
118.1 |
129.2 |
59.3 |
7,024 |
3,518 |
2.00 |
|
Cemex CPO |
4.015 |
0.6 |
(1.4) |
120.4 |
139.3 |
58.1 |
5,699 |
3,518 |
1.62 |
|
Cemig PN |
.04676 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
163.8 |
125.9 |
66.7 |
6,076 |
8,186 |
0.74 |
|
Cesp ON |
.03881 |
2.5 |
(0.0) |
15.2 |
196.4 |
70.9 |
3,637 |
11,966 |
0.30 |
|
Cesp PN |
.04897 |
(0.9) |
(2.6) |
111.0 |
188.6 |
72.6 |
4,588 |
11,966 |
0.38 |
|
Cifra C |
1.751 |
1.5 |
(5.5) |
108.3 |
131.1 |
71.8 |
8,420 |
2,817 |
2.99 |
|
Cifra V |
1.835 |
1.2 |
(5.8) |
134.4 |
140.7 |
69.5 |
8,824 |
2,817 |
3.13 |
|
Copec |
3.390 |
2.7 |
10.4 |
13.0 |
152.7 |
73.7 |
4,406 |
4,179 |
1.05 |
|
Copel PNB |
.01456 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
24.3 |
164.8 |
57.8 |
3,984 |
4,354 |
0.92 |
|
Eletrobras ON |
.04685 |
2.1 |
(0.2) |
232.6 |
143.3 |
80.1 |
25,182 |
55,529 |
0.45 |
|
Eletrobras PNB |
.05003 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
190.1 |
149.0 |
79.5 |
26,889 |
55,529 |
0.48 |
|
Eletropaulo PN |
.18398 |
0.2 |
(0.2) |
14.5 |
176.9 |
85.8 |
6,797 |
4,627 |
1.47 |
|
Endesa |
.62272 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
73.8 |
124.4 |
77.4 |
5,107 |
2,808 |
1.82 |
|
Enersis |
.61168 |
1.7 |
4.5 |
71.2 |
122.8 |
73.7 |
4,159 |
1,608 |
2.59 |
|
FEMSA Fom Econ Mex B |
7.062 |
1.2 |
(2.1) |
182.7 |
131.3 |
59.1 |
3,823 |
1,344 |
2.85 |
|
Grupo Modelo C |
8.404 |
(0.3) |
0.7 |
38.2 |
115.9 |
67.6 |
6,832 |
2,073 |
3.30 |
|
Itaubanco PN |
.64408 |
4.3 |
6.9 |
75.8 |
102.7 |
55.3 |
7,712 |
3,765 |
2.05 |
|
Kimberly Clark Mex A |
4.447 |
(0.1) |
(1.6) |
95.6 |
119.6 |
74.7 |
6,135 |
1,334 |
4.60 |
|
Light ON |
.39703 |
(0.0) |
4.2 |
37.5 |
135.6 |
68.3 |
4,125 |
2,235 |
1.85 |
|
Perez Companc ORD |
6.820 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
18.7 |
123.9 |
85.6 |
5,741 |
2,149 |
2.67 |
|
Petrobras ON |
.19102 |
0.6 |
7.2 |
20.5 |
134.8 |
66.2 |
20,747 |
18,910 |
1.10 |
|
Petrobras PN |
.24175 |
0.7 |
6.4 |
1,026.0 |
130.3 |
67.3 |
26,257 |
18,910 |
1.39 |
|
Sabesp ONI |
.25674 |
1.4 |
13.7 |
46.6 |
129.9 |
53.7 |
7,149 |
7,483 |
0.96 |
|
Telebras ON |
.10543 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
385.6 |
140.9 |
67.9 |
33,811 |
28,032 |
1.21 |
|
Telebras PN |
.13049 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
5,141.6 |
127.8 |
58.9 |
41,846 |
28,032 |
1.49 |
|
Telebras Rec |
.13014 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
184.6 |
100.5 |
38.7 |
41,733 |
28,032 |
1.49 |
|
Telecom ORD |
7.470 |
2.0 |
6.1 |
7.5 |
100.4 |
56.4 |
7,353 |
2,419 |
3.04 |
|
Telecomu. de Chile A |
6.757 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
35.0 |
133.5 |
79.1 |
5,918 |
2,270 |
2.61 |
|
Telef Arg ORD |
3.720 |
1.6 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
107.4 |
65.9 |
8,770 |
3,717 |
2.36 |
|
Telefonica del Peru BC1 |
2.007 |
(0.2) |
0.7 |
43.6 |
135.2 |
89.1 |
4,694 |
1,925 |
2.44 |
|
Telefonos de Mexico A |
2.644 |
1.6 |
(0.7) |
10.2 |
106.7 |
70.6 |
21,335 |
10,941 |
1.95 |
|
Telefonos de Mexico L |
2.655 |
1.3 |
(0.2) |
481.3 |
106.7 |
68.8 |
21,429 |
10,941 |
1.96 |
|
Telemig PNB |
.14999 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
41.0 |
127.5 |
60.2 |
3,571 |
1,952 |
1.83 |
|
Telerj PN |
.15087 |
3.3 |
1.2 |
130.3 |
113.4 |
47.7 |
4,593 |
2,912 |
1.58 |
|
Telesp ON |
.26028 |
3.5 |
8.5 |
28.1 |
128.1 |
55.9 |
14,920 |
10,050 |
1.48 |
|
Telesp PN |
.32116 |
2.2 |
5.5 |
362.3 |
119.0 |
59.1 |
18,409 |
10,050 |
1.83 |
|
Televisa CPO |
16.890 |
1.5 |
(2.9) |
36.6 |
119.1 |
67.2 |
5,219 |
1,920 |
2.72 |
|
Unibanco Unit |
.07147 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
18.9 |
115.1 |
55.3 |
7,139 |
2,356 |
3.03 |
|
Vale Rio Doce PN |
23.460 |
1.1 |
5.5 |
229.8 |
123.0 |
68.9 |
9,116 |
8,484 |
1.07 |
|
YPF ORD |
32.950 |
0.0 |
2.3 |
8.1 |
114.2 |
76.5 |
- |
- |
- |
|
Dow Jones |
8,603 |
(0.7) |
0.4 |
|
101.1 |
73.9 |
- |
- |
- |
|
FGV-100 |
53,775 |
0.5 |
6.8 |
|
125.5 |
78.1 |
- |
- |
- |
|
IBB |
0.86220 |
0.0 |
(0.2) |
63.0 |
142.2 |
99.5 |
- |
- |
- |
|
Ibovespa |
10,205 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
9,576.7 |
127.1 |
66.6 |
- |
- |
- |
|
IGBVL |
586.73 |
(0.1) |
1.0 |
224.9 |
146.8 |
93.8 |
- |
- |
- |
|
IGPA |
10.654 |
1.2 |
3.5 |
392.6 |
132.2 |
88.1 |
- |
- |
- |
|
Ind.Bursatil Ccas |
14.311 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
175.1 |
152.1 |
86.5 |
- |
- |
- |
|
IPyC |
558.57 |
0.6 |
(1.4) |
2,974.6 |
124.9 |
83.2 |
- |
- |
- |
|
MERVAL |
675.13 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
325.8 |
128.8 |
82.4 |
- |
- |
- |
|
S&P 500 |
1,069 |
(0.1) |
1.2 |
- |
100.7 |
68.6 |
- |
- |
- |
|
Fundamental Recap: (a/o Close, 3/13/98) |
Close US$/shr |
% Chg. on day |
% Chg. in wk |
Vol. - Feb $ MM |
52 wk Hi DLT=100 |
52 wk Lo DLT=100 |
Mkt. Cap. $ MM |
S.E. $ MM |
Px/Book |
|
Technical Recap: (a/o Close, 3/13/98) |
Close Loc Curr/shr |
MOM Wk -1 |
MOM Close |
Resist. 10/97 Hi DLT=100 |
Supp. 12/97 Lo DLT=100 |
YTD DLT=100 |
200 dy M.A. DLT=100 |
40-day M.A. DLT=100 |
20-day M.A. DLT=100 |
Cty |
Copec |
1535.0 |
19.0 |
34.4 |
133.8 |
94.0 |
100.1 |
117.9 |
83.2 |
88.5 |
CH |
Cesp ON |
.04399 |
41.2 |
33.8 |
196.4 |
104.0 |
124.6 |
138.4 |
90.7 |
89.8 |
BR |
Telerj PN |
.17100 |
27.3 |
30.3 |
113.4 |
48.8 |
68.9 |
84.6 |
80.3 |
87.2 |
BR |
Cesp PN |
.05550 |
32.4 |
20.3 |
188.6 |
97.1 |
122.6 |
127.5 |
95.5 |
94.5 |
BR |
Copel PNB |
.01650 |
13.6 |
18.6 |
123.8 |
81.7 |
91.5 |
102.9 |
86.5 |
88.7 |
BR |
FGV-100 |
60,916 |
16.0 |
17.2 |
121.7 |
80.5 |
89.2 |
103.9 |
86.3 |
90.4 |
BR |
Telemig PNB |
.17000 |
27.6 |
16.6 |
116.3 |
65.8 |
84.2 |
95.1 |
82.9 |
92.0 |
BR |
Eletropaulo PN |
.20852 |
13.0 |
15.3 |
143.7 |
90.7 |
102.2 |
118.6 |
97.1 |
95.2 |
BR |
Endesa |
282.00 |
17.2 |
15.1 |
112.0 |
89.6 |
91.8 |
104.1 |
89.6 |
95.0 |
CH |
Sabesp ONI |
.29099 |
14.2 |
14.4 |
113.7 |
74.5 |
92.5 |
96.1 |
83.7 |
88.3 |
BR |
Telesp PN |
.36400 |
7.2 |
14.2 |
119.0 |
65.9 |
82.8 |
93.4 |
89.3 |
90.6 |
BR |
Telesp ON |
.29500 |
10.9 |
14.2 |
127.0 |
67.2 |
87.4 |
98.5 |
87.5 |
87.5 |
BR |
Itaubanco PN |
.73000 |
6.2 |
13.6 |
102.7 |
66.1 |
83.3 |
82.0 |
88.1 |
91.6 |
BR |
Cemig PN |
.05300 |
7.8 |
13.4 |
123.0 |
79.5 |
92.9 |
100.1 |
89.4 |
92.6 |
BR |
Petrobras ON |
.21650 |
9.8 |
13.4 |
128.8 |
79.8 |
86.8 |
102.0 |
88.1 |
91.1 |
BR |
Telebras Rec |
.14750 |
15.0 |
12.9 |
95.6 |
66.2 |
79.1 |
69.8 |
86.0 |
93.6 |
BR |
Brasil PN |
.01065 |
(4.8) |
12.6 |
130.1 |
68.2 |
78.6 |
103.5 |
93.2 |
92.2 |
BR |
CANTV D |
2,895 |
(4.7) |
11.6 |
122.9 |
92.4 |
104.3 |
104.2 |
91.6 |
91.6 |
VN |
Enersis |
277.00 |
8.6 |
11.3 |
117.8 |
88.2 |
90.2 |
103.5 |
88.3 |
94.2 |
CH |
Cemex B |
42.400 |
4.2 |
11.2 |
121.7 |
96.9 |
108.0 |
102.7 |
91.7 |
93.8 |
MX |
Ibovespa |
11,566 |
10.9 |
11.0 |
116.1 |
77.8 |
89.5 |
98.0 |
89.4 |
93.3 |
BR |
Bradesco PN |
.01090 |
5.9 |
10.8 |
112.3 |
70.7 |
102.0 |
89.8 |
86.4 |
91.3 |
BR |
IGPA |
4,824 |
7.2 |
10.4 |
124.0 |
99.1 |
102.5 |
113.4 |
92.2 |
94.7 |
CH |
Telecomu. de Chile A |
3,060 |
7.3 |
10.4 |
118.4 |
94.6 |
106.2 |
106.1 |
91.8 |
96.0 |
CH |
Telebras ON |
.11950 |
12.2 |
10.1 |
127.6 |
81.6 |
96.4 |
105.0 |
91.3 |
95.6 |
BR |
Telebras PN |
.14790 |
12.0 |
9.0 |
113.2 |
74.6 |
87.4 |
95.9 |
89.7 |
94.9 |
BR |
Grupo Modelo C |
72.000 |
3.5 |
8.9 |
113.6 |
91.8 |
100.0 |
96.0 |
94.2 |
95.4 |
MX |
Petrobras PN |
.27400 |
5.2 |
8.2 |
126.7 |
81.6 |
96.7 |
102.9 |
92.0 |
94.6 |
BR |
Vale Rio Doce PN |
26.590 |
11.9 |
8.0 |
109.6 |
70.7 |
85.7 |
94.7 |
88.8 |
94.2 |
BR |
Cemex CPO |
34.400 |
0.5 |
7.2 |
132.2 |
103.1 |
112.9 |
110.6 |
94.6 |
95.6 |
MX |
Cemex A |
34.400 |
0.0 |
7.0 |
132.0 |
103.9 |
112.1 |
110.7 |
94.6 |
95.8 |
MX |
Carso Grupo A1 |
50.400 |
(2.8) |
6.9 |
143.5 |
106.0 |
113.8 |
115.2 |
98.7 |
98.3 |
MX |
Bradesco ON |
.01050 |
1.8 |
6.7 |
116.2 |
72.7 |
106.9 |
92.1 |
89.6 |
93.8 |
BR |
Light ON |
.44999 |
(1.5) |
6.6 |
115.3 |
85.9 |
104.9 |
105.7 |
95.8 |
95.5 |
BR |
YPF ORD |
32.950 |
(0.6) |
6.6 |
114.2 |
93.4 |
101.4 |
97.5 |
95.2 |
95.9 |
AG |
Brahma PN |
.88000 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
99.0 |
76.8 |
86.5 |
90.9 |
92.5 |
96.8 |
BR |
S&P 500 |
1,068.59 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
92.0 |
86.6 |
90.8 |
88.8 |
95.1 |
97.8 |
US |
Kimberly Clark Mex A |
38.100 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
119.6 |
92.3 |
110.1 |
100.0 |
98.7 |
98.1 |
MX |
Cifra C |
15.000 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
128.8 |
108.2 |
128.2 |
104.3 |
100.3 |
98.9 |
MX |
Telefonos de Mexico L |
22.750 |
0.5 |
3.9 |
101.1 |
90.3 |
106.2 |
93.5 |
95.9 |
96.3 |
MX |
Telefonos de Mexico A |
22.650 |
0.7 |
3.7 |
100.5 |
91.5 |
106.5 |
92.7 |
96.2 |
97.0 |
MX |
Eletrobras PNB |
.05670 |
4.3 |
3.5 |
127.5 |
93.2 |
102.1 |
104.3 |
94.4 |
95.8 |
BR |
Cifra V |
15.720 |
1.1 |
3.4 |
132.2 |
114.8 |
134.5 |
109.3 |
102.6 |
100.2 |
MX |
Ind.Bursatil Ccas |
7,456 |
(5.1) |
3.4 |
150.3 |
113.9 |
119.8 |
122.3 |
97.8 |
97.4 |
VN |
Telefonica del Peru BC1 |
5.620 |
1.6 |
3.1 |
127.1 |
103.9 |
111.1 |
111.0 |
97.1 |
95.8 |
PE |
Dow Jones |
8,603 |
4.6 |
2.8 |
95.1 |
88.1 |
91.9 |
92.0 |
95.9 |
98.9 |
US |
IPyC |
4,785 |
(0.3) |
2.2 |
124.9 |
107.3 |
116.1 |
107.1 |
99.0 |
98.5 |
MX |
Brahma ON |
.76000 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
110.3 |
85.6 |
92.8 |
102.4 |
97.1 |
99.5 |
BR |
Telecom ORD |
7.470 |
3.0 |
1.2 |
86.4 |
77.9 |
94.2 |
78.2 |
91.6 |
96.4 |
AG |
Perez Companc ORD |
6.820 |
(1.5) |
0.8 |
122.2 |
95.4 |
104.6 |
108.5 |
98.3 |
98.0 |
AG |
MERVAL |
675.13 |
1.3 |
(0.0) |
127.8 |
94.7 |
101.7 |
110.2 |
97.6 |
100.0 |
AG |
FEMSA Fom Econ Mex B |
60.500 |
1.0 |
(0.1) |
131.3 |
106.5 |
113.3 |
103.7 |
99.3 |
100.6 |
MX |
Bancomer GF B |
5.080 |
0.3 |
(0.2) |
118.5 |
95.9 |
108.8 |
99.2 |
96.9 |
97.7 |
MX |
Eletrobras ON |
.05310 |
4.8 |
(0.3) |
129.0 |
94.8 |
106.1 |
104.9 |
96.2 |
97.6 |
BR |
IGBVL |
1,643 |
(3.6) |
(1.3) |
133.5 |
107.9 |
112.0 |
120.1 |
99.8 |
97.9 |
PE |
Telef Arg ORD |
3.720 |
(6.4) |
(2.2) |
100.3 |
85.2 |
100.7 |
93.5 |
97.4 |
98.2 |
AG |
Unibanco Unit |
.08100 |
6.1 |
(3.0) |
115.1 |
68.2 |
92.5 |
|
90.0 |
98.9 |
BR |
Televisa CPO |
144.700 |
(0.4) |
(4.7) |
118.9 |
106.9 |
115.3 |
101.8 |
101.8 |
102.1 |
MX |
Banamex Accival GF B |
20.400 |
(10.8) |
(5.1) |
135.1 |
93.6 |
125.8 |
112.0 |
108.3 |
102.9 |
MX |
IBB |
1169.69 |
(9.7) |
(5.5) |
140.8 |
124.0 |
128.5 |
126.2 |
108.8 |
102.2 |
CO |
Technical Recap: (a/o Close, 3/13/98) |
Close Loc Curr/shr |
MOM Wk -1 |
MOM Close |
Resist. 10/97 Hi DLT=100 |
Supp. 12/97 Lo DLT=100 |
YTD DLT=100 |
200 dy M.A. DLT=100 |
40-day M.A. DLT=100 |
20-day M.A. DLT=100 |
Cty |
Data Sources: Economatica ; vervecapital
Note: These tables will print horizontally (landscape), the web-editor used to create the tables is Quarterdeck Web Author. As it happens, the latest versions of Netscape Communicator and Microsoft Explorer do not print landscape and/or will break the table at the page break. We recommend the Quarterdeck Mosaic workhorse brower which comes packaged with Quarterdeck products including Web Author. Browser windows can also be tiled, allowing rapid reloads.
Breakfast in Rio - Global Market Monitor - U.S. Market Monitor - Top
Copyright © 1995-97 Verve Capital International Inc. All rights reserved.